After a few days of abrupt activity in the Atlantic, one disturbance still has a chance of developing into something bigger.
The National Hurricane Center is watching two tropical disturbances in the Atlantic. One of them, which was briefly Tropical Storm Cristobal, the third named storm of the season, weakened within a day of forming. A second, Invest 92L, is getting less organized but may still bring gusty winds and heavy rains to the Lesser Antilles Friday night, Aug. 14, and Saturday.
Conditions for the third, Invest 94L, currently several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, are forecast to encourage gradual development, the NHC said. A tropical depression could form late this week or this weekend.
However, forecasters said it's likely that if it continues on its current path, it will run into the same wind shear and dry air that tore Invest 92L apart.
Shop Amazon for hurricane prep
➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location
Special note about spaghetti models: Spaghetti model illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The Hurricane Center uses only the top four or five highest performing models to help make its forecasts.
➤ Get the latest information on Invest 94L
Invest 92L, located west of Invest 94L, "may be able to push away some of the dry air in the basin ahead of 94L," said meteorologist Nick Arman, with AccuWeather forecasting operations.
"It is still too early to tell where 94L may track, but this wave will also face the same challenges as 92L is facing, including dry air in the Main Development Region and hostile wind shear as it approaches the Caribbean.
"Any potential impacts to Florida or the United States would not be until late next week at the earliest, so we still have plenty of time to monitor the progression of this wave."
Bottom line: It's too early to tell whether Invest 94L will have any impact on Florida, although none are anticipated as of Aug. 14.
Dolly and Eduard are the next two names for the Atlantic basin, which covers the Atlantic, Gulf of America and Caribbean.
A tropical depression has maximum sustained surface winds — based on a one-minute average — of 38 mph or less, according to the National Weather Service.
A tropical storm has maximum sustained surface winds ranging from 39-73 mph.
This auto-updated graphic shows a map of all active storms in the Atlantic basin.
Can't see the graphic? Open in a new browser.
We will update our tropical weather coverage daily.
Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here.
This story has been updated with new information.
Cheryl McCloud is a journalist for the USA TODAY Network-Florida's service journalism Connect team. You can get all of Florida's best content directly in your inbox each weekday day by signing up for the free newsletter, Florida TODAY, at https://tcpalm.com/newsletters.
This article originally appeared on Treasure Coast Newspapers: Spaghetti models for Invest 94L. Will it impact Florida this weekend?